股票价格遵循几何分式Brown运动的期权定价

讨论了股票价格过程遵循几何分式B row n运动的欧式期权定价.由于该过程存在套利机会使得传统的期权定价方法(如资本资产定价模型(CAPM),套利定价模型(APT),动态均衡定价理论(DEPT))不可能对该期权定价.利用保险精算定价法,在对市场无其它任何假设条件下,获得了欧式期权的定价公式.并讨论了在有效期内股票支付已知红利和红利率的推广公式.     

估计死亡率分布的一个最大熵模型

本文提出了一种估计死亡率分布的新模型一最大熵模型。该模型直接从样本信息出发，不需要对待估分布的概率密度函数或先验分布作任何假定，从而克服了极大似然估计和贝叶斯估计的不足。而且通过两个例子的计算结果，表明该方法与样本数据的拟合效果要好于其它两种方法。     

毛细管电色谱中进样时间对柱效的影响

毛细管电色谱是近年发展起来的一种新型微分离技术，它结合了高效液相色谱和毛细管电泳的物点，具有高效、快速，高选择性，其有关理论研究和应用越来越深入，本文从色谱动力学角度讨论了毛细管电色谱中进样时间对柱的影响。     

液-固色谱流动相体积分数层次结构模型与保留值的关系

用液-固色谱流动相"假定"的体积分数层次结构模型,可得到质点团溶解溶质时的体积分数,进而得到共溶剂中溶质的溶解度、固定相上的溶质吸附量,从而推导出多元流动相组成与溶质保留值的关系.如三元流动相与溶质保留值的关联式为:lnk'=φB3lnk'B3 φB2lnk'B2 φB1lnk'B1 φB1(φB20.5 φB30.5)ln(q)(外Ⅱ) φB30.5φB21.0φB11.5ln(q)(外Ⅰ),经实验数据拟合,本式较其他关联式略胜一筹.     

投资组合保险CPPI策略研究

随着期权理论应用的发展,投资组合保险在国外已成为一种盛行的资产配置策略, 常数比例投资组合保险策略(CPPI)以其模型简单、参数的设置又能充分反映投资人不同的风险偏好、而且易于实施,成为大型安全型基金的基金经理首选的投资策略.本文研究并推广了CPPI策略,找出CPPI与期权的关系,讨论了借贷限制对(CPPI策略的影响,最后对CPPI策略在中国市场的可投资性进行了评测.     

基本养老保险缴费心理活动维度的实证研究:个人心理账户视角

本文从心理账户理论视角,通过问卷调查,运用非集计模型,对个人基本养老保险缴费心理活动维度进行了实证研究。研究结果表明,受教育程度、非常规的额外收入、经营性收入、安全型保障账户和风险型存储账户是影响缴费的关键性因素,进而提出引导设立特定缴费心理账户、增强缴费制度弹性,改变缴费者的选择框架, 提升缴费遵从度。     

Valuation and risk assessment of participating life insurance in the presence of credit risk

In participating life insurance, management decisions regarding the asset composition can substantially impact the value of a policy from the policyholders’ perspective as well as the insurer’s risk situation. Due to the long-term guarantees often embedded in these contracts, life insurers typically invest a considerable portion of their capital in long-term assets such as corporate and government bonds. Besides interest rate risk, the value of these bond investments is thus particularly influenced by credit risk. Thus, the aim of this paper is to examine the impact of market risk associated with the asset composition on fair valuation and risk assessment with focus on credit risk and its interaction with equity risk and interest rate risk. Our analysis emphasizes that the consideration of credit risk associated with bonds has a strong impact on the fair valuation and risk measurement in the context of participating life insurance contracts, even in case of higher grade bond exposures.     

随机利率下跳-扩散过程的产量保险定价模型

本文研究了农产品价格为一般的跳-扩散模型,随机跳部分为复合Poisson过程,并假设远期利率服从HJM模型,利用测度变换技巧,给出了合同的在此模型下的解析解.     

On a kind of integrals of empirical processes concerning insurance risk

This paper proves the strong consistence and the central limit theorems for empirical right tail deviations.     

Threshold control of mutual insurance with limited commitment

We study the optimal premium policy of mutual insurance when the charged premium cannot be higher than a preset rate. We provide a complete solution to the problem and use numerical simulations to illustrate how the optimal premium policy responds to changes of outside factors. The results are useful for mutual insurance firms to design premium policies and can be used to test the behavior of these firms in empirical studies.